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Aydin Uysal
Haas School of Business |
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Research
Interests
Financial Statement Analysis, Security Valuation,
Financial Institutions. Job Market Paper “Assessing Accrual Quality in
Financial Institutions” Abstract: This paper provides
a framework for assessing the accrual quality of financial institutions and
applies it to commercial banks' loan portfolios. I first develop an accrual reliability
categorization for financial institutions and show that existing findings for
non-financial firms extend to financial firms. I next demonstrate how supplementing the
information in accruals leads to significantly improved assessment of accrual
quality. Focusing on commercial banks'
loan portfolios, I supplement information in accruals with footnote
disclosures regarding loan portfolio concentrations and regional economic
indicators. I show that the resulting
loan portfolio quality index (PQI)
further isolates less reliable accruals and significantly improves the
forecasting of future earnings and stock returns. Working Papers “A Framework for Value Investing.” with Seungmin Chee and Richard G. Sloan. “Accrual Anomaly: A Cointegration
Approach.” “Predictability of Aggregate
Earnings.” “Aggregate Earnings, Cash Flows,
Accruals Surprises, and Expected Equity Premiums.” |
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