Ned Augenblick
Associate Professor
Haas School of Business
University of California, Berkeley

Mailing Address:
545 Student Services Building, 1900
Berkeley, CA 94720-1900
510-642-1435
Office: F682
ned@haas.berkeley.edu


Curriculum Vitae    



[Publications / Forthcoming]

Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals
Conditionally Accepted: The Quarterly Journal of Economics
(with Eben Lazarus and Michael Thaler)
   Old version

Pooled Testing Efficiency Increases with Test Frequency
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Jan 2022
(with Jonathan Kolstad, Ziad Obermeyer, and Ao Wang)
   Data Files

Belief Movement, Uncertainty Reduction, and Rational Updating
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2021
(with Matthew Rabin)

An Experiment on Time Preference and Misprediction in Unpleasant Tasks
Review of Economic Studies, May 2019
(with Matthew Rabin)
   Online Appendix       Transcription Task Files       Data Files(@Restud)       Simple example: Stata MLE/NLLS

To Reveal or Not to Reveal: Privacy Preferences and Economic Frictions
Games and Economic Behavior, July 2017
(with Aaron Bodoh-Creed)
   Older Version


The Economics of Faith: Using an Apocalyptic Prophecy to Elicit Religious Beliefs in the Field
Journal of Public Economics, September 2016
(with Jesse Cunha, Ernesto Dal Bo and Justin Rao)
   Online Appendix       Data Files

Ballot Position, Choice Fatigue, and Voter Behavior
Review of Economic Studies, April 2016
(with Scott Nicholson)
   Data Files(@Restud)       Press: The Atlantic

The Sunk-Cost Fallacy in Penny Auctions
Review of Economic Studies, January 2016
   Online Appendix       Data Files(@Restud)       Press: Financial Times, NY Times          Older Version

Working Over Time: Dynamic Inconsistency in Real Effort Tasks
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 2015 [Editor's Choice]
(with Muriel Niederle and Charles Sprenger)
   Online Appendix       Data Files       Transcription Task Files

Using Competition to Elicit Cooperation in a Political Public Goods Game: A Field Experiment
Economic Inquiry, January 2015
(with Jesse Cunha)


[Drafts]

Retrieval Failures and Consumption Smoothing: A Field Experiment on Seasonal Poverty
Revise and Resubmit: The Quarterly Journal of Economics
(with Kelsey Jack, Supreet Kaur, Felix Masiye, and Nicholas Swanson)

A New Test of Excess Movement in Asset Prices
Revise and Resubmit: The Journal of Finance
(with Eben Lazarus)
   Online Appendix
   Old version called: "Restrictions on Asset-Price Movements Under Rational Expectations: Theory and Evidence"

The Large Number of Choices Incompatible with Representing Risk Preference as Utility Curvature
(with Seung-Keun Martinez)

Short-Term Discounting in Unpleasant Tasks
Revise and Resubmit: The Journal of Profound and Inexplicable Procrastination of a Single-Authored Paper
   Preregistration Document on AEA Registry


[Newer Projects]

Model Uncertainty, Disagreement, and Over-Precision: Theory and Evidence
(with Matthew Backus, Andrew Little, and Don Moore)


[Older]

Bad Associations: Protecting Trademarks from Dilution

Intelligent Biofeedback using an Immersive Competitive Environment
(with Daniel Bersak, Gary McDarby, Phil McDarby, Daragh McDonnell, Brian McDonald, and Rahul Karkun)









This page is not an official publication of the Haas School of Business. It has not been reviewed or approved by the Haas School of Business or the University of California, Berkeley. The page author is solely responsible for the contents of this page.

Copyright, Ned Augenblick.