Philip E. Tetlock

The psychology of futurology and the future of psychology. Tetlock, P. E. (1994).  The psychology of futurology and the future of psychology.  Psychological Science, 5, 1‑4.

The market experience: The worst system except for all the others? Review of R. Lane, The market experience.Tetlock, P.E. (1994).  The market experience: The worst system except for all the others? Review of R. Lane, The market experience.  Contemporary Psychology, 39, 589-591.

The slavery debate in antebellum America: Cognitive style, value conflict, and the limits of compromise.  Tetlock, P. E., Armor, D. & Peterson, R. (1994).  The slavery debate in antebellum America: Cognitive style, value conflict, and the limits of compromise.  Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 66, 115‑126.

Good judgment in world politics: Historical counterfactuals, conditional forecasts, and policy preferences. Tetlock, P.E. Good judgment in world politics: Historical counterfactuals, conditional forecasts, and policy preferences.  Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, September, 1996.

Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action.  Kuklinski, J.H., Sniderman, P., Knight, K., Piazza, T., Tetlock, P.E., Lawrence, G.R. & Mellers, B. (1997).  Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action.  American Journal of Political Science, 41, 402-419.

Close-call counterfactuals and belief-system defense.  Tetlock, P.E. (1998).  Close-call counterfactuals and belief-system defense.  Invited address to International Society of Political Psychology, Montreal, Canada, July, 1998.

Sober second thought:  The effects of accountability, anger, and authoritarianism on attributions of responsibility.Lerner, J., Goldberg, J. & Tetlock, P.E. (1998).  Sober second thought:  The effects of accountability, anger, and authoritarianism on attributions of responsibility.  Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 24, 563-574.