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Accounting for the effects of accountabilityLerner, J. & Tetlock, P.E. (1999). Accounting for the effects of accountability. Psychological Bulletin, 125, 255-275.

Mass public decisions on going to war: A cognitive-interactionist framework. Hermann, R., Tetlock, P.E., & Visser, P. (1999). Mass public decisions on going to war: A cognitive-interactionist framework. American Political Science Review, 93. 553-574.

Rage and reason: The psychology of the intuitive prosecutor.Goldberg, J. H., Lerner, J. S. & Tetlock, P. E. (1999). Rage and reason: The psychology of the intuitive prosecutor. European Journal of Social Psychology, 29, 781-795.

Accountability and close-call counterfactuals: The loser who almost won and the winner who almost lost. Markman, K. D., & Tetlock, P. E. (2000). Accountability and close-call counterfactuals: The loser who almost won and the winner who almost lost. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 26, 1213-1224.

Cognitive biases and organizational correctives: Do both disease and cure depend on the ideological beholder? Tetlock, P.E. (2000). Cognitive biases and organizational correctives: Do both disease and cure depend on the ideological beholder? Administrative Science Quarterly, 45, 293-326. Reprinted in L. Thompson (ed.), The social psychology of organizational behavior. (pp. 384-406). New York: Taylor and Francis Books. Reprinted in M. Bazerman (ed), The International Library of critical writings in business and management. Cheltenham: Elgar.

Coping with accountability cross-pressures: Low-effort evasive tactics and high-effort quests for complex compromises.Green, M., Visser, P., & Tetlock, P.E. (2000). Coping with accountability cross-pressures: Low-effort evasive tactics and high-effort quests for complex compromises. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin., 26, 1380-1392.

Coping with trade-offs: Psychological constraints and political implications. Tetlock, P.E. (2000). Coping with trade-offs: Psychological constraints and political implications. In S. Lupia, M. McCubbins, & S. Popkin (eds.), Political reasoning and choice. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Human nature and world politics: Cognition, influence, and identity. Tetlock, P. E. & Goldgeier, J. (2000). Human nature and world politics: Cognition, influence, and identity. International Journal of Psychology, 35, 87-96.

I could not have known: Accountability, foreseeability, Markman, K. D., & Tetlock, P. E. (2000). I could not have known: Accountability, foreseeability, and counterfactual denials of responsibility. British Journal of Social Psychology.

The psychology of the unthinkable: Taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals. Tetlock, P.E., Kristel, O., Elson, B., Green, M., and Lerner, J (2000). The psychology of the unthinkable: Taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 78, 853-870.

Thinking about Russia: Possible pasts and probable futures. Tetlock, P. E. & Visser, P. (2000). Thinking about Russia: Possible pasts and probable futures. British Journal of Social Psychology, 39, 173-196.

How Americans think about trade: Resolving conflicts among money, power, and principles. Herrmann, R., Tetlock, P. E., and Diascro, M. (2001). How Americans think about trade: Resolving conflicts among money, power, and principles. International Studies Quarterly, 45, 191-218.

The limits of fungibility: Relational schemata and the value of things. McGraw, A.P., & Tetlock, P.E. (November, 2001). The limits of fungibility: Relational schemata and the value of things. Society for Judgment and Decision Making; Orlando, FL.

Poking counterfactual holes in covering laws: Cognitive styles and historical reasoning. Tetlock, P.E. & Lebow, R.N. (2001). Poking counterfactual holes in covering laws: Cognitive styles and historical reasoning. American Political Science Review, 95, 829-843.

Psychology and international relations theory. Goldgeier, J. & Tetlock, P. E. (2001). Psychology and international relations theory. In N. Polsby (ed.), Annual Review of Political Science, 2001, (volume 4). Palo Alto: Annual Reviews Press.

Cognitive biases in path-dependent systems: Theory driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics. Tetlock, P.E. (2002). Cognitive biases in path-dependent systems: Theory driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics. In T. Gilovich, D. W. Griffin, & D. Kahneman. (Eds.). Inferences, heuristics and biases: New directions in judgment under uncertainty. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Philip E. Tetlock

1999-2000

Publications