Tetlock, P.E., Lebow, R.N., & Parker, G. (Eds) (final revision process/2000). Unmaking the West: Counterfactual explorations of alternative histories. New York: Columbia University Press.

Tetlock, P. E. & Goldgeiger, J. (in press/2000). Human nature and world politics: Cognition, identity, and influence. International Journal of Psychology.

Tetlock, P. E. & Visser, P. (in press/2000). Thinking about Russia: Possible pasts and probable futures. British Journal of Social Psychology.

Tetlock, P. E. (in press/2000). Counterfactual reasoning and public policy. In I. Katznelson and K. Prewitt (eds.), International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. London: Elsevier Science Publishers.

Tetlock, P.E. (in press/2000). Cognitive biases in path-dependent systems: Theory driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics. In Gilovich, T. Griffin, D.W., & Kahneman, D. (1999). Inferences, heuristics and biases: New directions in judgment under uncertainty. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Tetlock, P.E. (1999). Theory-driven reasoning about possible pasts and probable futures: Are we prisoners of our preconceptions? American Journal of Political Science, 43, 335-366.

Tetlock, P.E. (1998). Close-call counterfactuals and belief system defenses: I was not almost wrong but I was almost right. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 639-652.

Tetlock, P. E. (1998). Social psychology and world politics. In S. Fiske, D. Gilbert, & G. Lindzey (eds.), Handbook of social psychology (4th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.

Tetlock, P.E. (1998). The what-if school of history. TIME, 151, 163.

Tetlock, P. E. & Belkin, A. (1996). Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics: Logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives. In P. E. Tetlock & A. Belkin (eds), Thought experiments in world politics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Tetlock, P. E. (1992). Is it a bad idea to study good judgment? Political Psychology, 13, 429-435. Tetlock, P. E. (1992). Good judgment in international politics: Three psychological perspectives. Political Psychology, 13, 517-540.

Breslauer, G., & Tetlock, P. E. (Eds.), (1991). Learning in U.S. and Soviet foreign policy. Boulder: Westview Press.

Tetlock, P. E. (1991). Learning in U.S. and Soviet foreign policy: In search of an elusive concept. Introductory chapter in G. Breslauer & P. E. Tetlock (Eds.), Learning in U.S. and Soviet foreign policy. Boulder, CO: Westview.

Tetlock, P. E., & McGuire, C. (1986). Cognitive perspectives on foreign policy. In S. Long (Ed.), Political behavior annual. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Reprinted in R. White (Ed.), Psychology and the prevention of nuclear war. New York: New York University Press (1986) and in N. Kressel (Ed.), Political psychology: classic and contemporary readings. New York: Paragon House (1993).