Now tweeting (nearly) daily energy news/blogs/research at @EnergyClippings
Blogging at the Energy Institute at Haas blog
Last Update November 12, 2014
--- Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research
Click here for short bio, CV and photos
Office Hours: on sabbatical Fall 2014
Haas School of Business
University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720-1900
U.C. Energy Institute
2547 Channing Way
Berkeley, CA 94720-5180
"On the Efficiency of Competitive Markets for Operating Licenses," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 103(May 1988).
"Market Incentives for Safe Commercial Airline Operation," (with Martin Zimmerman), American Economic Review, 78(December 1988).
"The Economics of Costly Risk Sorting in Competitive Insurance Markets," International Review of Law and Economics, 9(June 1989).
"How to Carve a Medical Degree: Human Capital Assets in Divorce Settlements," (with Paul Courant), American Economic Review, 79(December 1989).
"Airline Mergers, Airport Dominance, and Market Power," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 80 (May 1990).
"Carrot and Yardstick Regulation: Enhancing Market Performance with Output Prizes," (with Mark Bagnoli), Journal of Regulatory Economics, 3(June 1991).
"The Dominant-Firm Advantage in Multi-Product Industries: Evidence from the U.S. Airlines," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(November 1991).
"The Evolution of U.S. Airline Competition," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(Spring 1992).
"Competition and Price Dispersion in the U.S. Airline Industry," (with Nancy Rose), Journal of Political Economy, 103(August 1994).
"Bankruptcy and Pricing Behavior in U.S. Airline Markets" (with Nancy Rose), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 85(May 1995).
"Settling for Coupons: Discount Contracts as Compensation and Punishment in Antitrust Lawsuits," Journal of Law and Economics, 39(October 1996).
"Do Gasoline Prices Respond Asymmetrically to Crude Oil Price Changes?" (with Colin Cameron and Richard Gilbert), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112(February 1997).
"Why Do All the Flights Leave at 8 a.m.? Competition and Departure-Time Differentiation in Airline Markets" (with Janet Netz), International Journal of Industrial Organization, 17(July 1999).
"An Empirical Analysis of Market Power in a Deregulated California Electricity Market" (with James Bushnell), Journal of Industrial Economics, 47(September 1999).
"Market Power in Electricity Markets: Beyond Concentration Measures" (with James Bushnell and Christopher R. Knittel), Energy Journal, 20(4, 1999).
"Exercising Market Power in Proprietary Aftermarkets," (with Jeffrey MacKie-Mason and Janet Netz), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 9(Summer 2000).
"The Competitive Effects of Transmission Capacity in a Deregulated Electricity Industry" (with James Bushnell and Steven Stoft), Rand Journal of Economics, 31(Summer 2000). (Also, some brief Supplementary Materials are available)
“Sticky Prices, Inventories, and Market Power in Wholesale Gasoline Markets'' (with Andrea Shepard ), Rand Journal of Economics, 33(Spring 2002).
“Measuring Market Inefficiencies in California's Restructured Wholesale Electricity Market,'' (with James Bushnell and Frank Wolak), American Economic Review, 92(December 2002).
"The Impact of Bankruptcy on Airline Service Levels" (with Nancy Rose ), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 93(May 2003).
"The Long-Run Efficiency of Real-Time Electricity Pricing," Energy Journal, 26(3) (2005).
"Customer Risk from Real-Time Retail Electricity Pricing: Bill Volatility and Hedgability," The Energy Journal, 28(2), 2007.
"Wealth Transfers Among Large Customers from Implementing Real-Time Retail Electricity Pricing," The Energy Journal, 28(2), 2007.
"Do Investors Forecast Fat Firms? Evidence from the Gold Mining Industry,'' (with Joe Farrell), Rand Journal of Economics, 38(Autumn 2007).
"Inefficiencies and Market Power in Financial Arbitrage: A Study of California's Electricity Markets" (with James Bushnell, Christopher Knittel, and Catherine Wolfram), Journal of Industrial Economics, 56(2), June 2008.
“Why Can’t U.S. Airlines Make Money?”, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 101(5), May 2011. A long version is available as “On the Persistent Financial Losses of U.S. Airlines: A Preliminary Exploration,” NBER Working Paper #16744, January 2011.
"The Equity and Efficiency of Two-Part Tariffs in U.S. Natural Gas Markets" (with Lucas Davis), Journal of Law and Economics, 55(1), February 2012.
"The Redistributional Impact of Non-Linear Electricity Pricing", American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(3), August 2012.
"Career Concerns, Inaction and Market Inefficiency: Evidence from utility regulation" (with Meghan Busse and Ryan Kellogg), Journal of Industrial Economics, 60(2), June 2012.
“The Private and Public Economics of Renewable Electricity Generation”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(1), Winter 2012.
“Effective and Equitable Adoption of Opt-In Residential Dynamic Electricity Pricing,”. Review of Industrial Organization ,March 2013, 42(2), pp. 127-160.
"The Incidence of an Oil Glut: Who Benefits from Cheap Crude Oil in the Midwest?" (with Ryan Kellogg), Energy Journal, January 2014, 35(1), pp. 15-33.
"A Microeconomic Framework for Evaluating Energy Efficiency Rebound And Some Implications", Energy Journal, forthcoming, January 2015.
"High Air Fares: Don't Blame Deregulation," Washington Post, August 25, 1987.
"USAir Merger Promises Higher Fares, Less Competition," Hartford Courant, January 12, 1988.
"Losses in Airline Demand and Value Following Accidents," (with Martin Zimmerman) in Moses and Savage, eds., Transportation Safety in an Age of Deregulation, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989.
"Dissipating the Airline Deregulation Dividend: The Decline of Competition at Hub Airports," Regulation, Fall 1990 (and reply letter in Winter 1991 issue).
"Prospects for Competitive European Air Travel," in W.J. Adams, ed. Singular Europe: Economy and Polity of the European Community After 1992, Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1992.
"USAir in 1986," (with Andrea Shepard), Stanford Graduate School of Business Strategic Management Case S-SM-4, January 1993.
"The Economics of Customer Lock-In and Market Power in the Service Business," (with Jeffrey MacKie-Mason and Janet Netz) in Patrick T. Harker, ed. The Service Productivity and Quality Challenge, Kluwer Academic Press, 1994.
"Uncle Sam at the Gas Pump: Causes and Consequences of Regulating Gasoline Distribution," (with Richard Gilbert), Regulation, Spring 1993.
"Repeat-Buyer Programs in Network Industries," in Werner Sichel ed., Networks, Infrastructure, and The New Task for Regulation, University of Michigan Press, 1996.
"Airline Deregulation," (with Nancy Rose) entry in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Law and Economics, New York: Grove's Dictionaries, 1998.
"Rapid Communication and Price Fixing: The Airline Tariff Publishing Company Case," in John E. Kwoka and Lawrence J. White eds., The Antitrust Revolution: The Role of Economics, Oxford University Press, 3rd Edition, 1998.
Comments on Kole and Lehn's "Workforce Integration and the Dissipation of Value in Mergers: The Case of USAir's Acquisition of Piedmont Aviation," in Steven Kaplan, ed., Mergers and Productivity, University of Chicago Press, 2000.
"California 'Lessons' derive from a Mischaracterization of our work" (with James Bushnell), letter in Electricity Journal, March 2000.
"Electricity Restructuring: Deregulation or Reregulation?," (with James Bushnell) Regulation, Vol. 23 No.2, 2000.
"Understanding Competitive Pricing and Market Power in Wholesale Electricity Markets," Electricity Journal, July 2000.
"California consumers haven't seen benefits of deregulating the electrical industry yet -- What went wrong?," (with James Bushnell) San Jose Mercury News, August 27, 2000.
"Electricity Pricing Should Clue Consumers
to Judicious Use," Los Angeles Times,
January 17, 2001.
"Government Aid to Airlines is Just Excess Baggage for Taxpayers ," Los Angeles Times, August 27, 2002.
"Time-Varying Retail Electricity Prices: Theory and Practice,'' in Griffin and Puller, eds., Electricity Deregulation: Choices and Challenges, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2005.
"Power Politics Hurts Consumers," Financial Times, August 19, 2003.
"What's Wrong with Regulating Gasoline Prices?", Sacramento Bee, September 12, 2003
"Solar Initiative Has a Dark Side", San Jose Mercury News, August 20, 2004
"Mere drops in the world's oil barrel", San Jose Mercury News, June 2, 2005
Testimony before the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee on mergers in the oil and gasoline industry, March 14, 2006
"Will Solar PV Save You Money?", San Francisco Chronicle, April 21, 2008
Conflict and Climate: Navigating the Global Oil Market, Milken Institute
Review, 4th Quarter 2008.
(a more detailed version of the paper is available at "Cost, Conflict and Climate: U.S. Challenges in the World Oil Market", Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #177, University of California Energy Institute, Revised June 2008.)
“California Solar Scorecard: Invest in Technologies, Not Subsidies” New York Times, Room for Debate, April 21, 2010.
"Markets for Anthropogenic Carbon Within the Larger Carbon Cycle", in The Design and Implementation of U.S. Carbon Policy, Don Fullerton and Catherine Wolfram eds., National Bureau of Economic Research and University of Chicago Press, 2012.
“Making the Wrong Case for Renewable Energy”, Bloomberg Business Class, February 13, 2012.
“The U.S. Can’t Control the World Oil Markets”, U.S. News & World Report, Debate Club, March 2, 2012.
“Why the U.S. Airlines Need to Adapt to a Slow-Growth Future”, Bloomberg Business Class, June 4, 2012.
“Seeking a fix for California’s gasoline market problems,” Los Angeles Times, December 2, 2012.
"How Airline Markets Work...Or Do They? Regulatory Reform in the Airline Industry," (with Nancy Rose) National Bureau of Economic Research working paper #13452, updated 2013.forthcoming 2014 in N. Rose ed., Economic Regulation and Its Reform: What Have We Learned?, University of Chicago Press.
“Three Legacy Airlines and Southwest. Now What?”, Milken Institute Review (Trends section), Second Quarter, 2014.
“An Economic Perspective on the EPA’s Clean Power Plan”, (with Meredith Fowlie, Lawrence Goulder, Matthew Kotchen,(lead authors) James Bushnell, Lucas Davis, Michael Greenstone, Charles Kolstad, Christopher Knittel, Robert Stavins, Michael Wara, Frank Wolak, and Catherine Wolfram), Science 14 November 2014: Vol. 346 no. 6211 pp. 815-816.
``The Competitive Strategy Game,'' Version 3.50, January 2011. A computer simulation of competition among firms for use in undergraduate and graduate courses in economics and business. Version 3.50 is designed with an option to run the CSG through the CSG Home Page. Since Version 1.0, released in January 1994, the CSG has been used in undergrad, MBA, or Ph.D. level courses at more than 80 universities and colleges in 22 countries on 5 continents. Here is a list of those institutions.
“The U.S. Electricity Industry After 20 Years of Restructuring”, Energy Institute at Haas Working Paper #252, U.C. Berkeley, September 2014 (joint with James Bushnell)
"Report of the Market Simulation Group on Competitive Supply/Demand Balance in the California Allowance Market and the Potential for Market Manipulation", Energy Institute at Haas Working Paper #251, U.C. Berkeley, July 2014 (joint with James Bushnell, Frank A. Wolak, and Matthew Zaragoza-Watkins)
“Regional and Income Distribution Effects of Alternative Retail Electricity Tariffs”, Energy Institute at Haas Working Paper #225, U.C. Berkeley, October 2011.
"An Index of Inter-City Business Travel for Use in Domestic Airline Competition Analysis", U.C. Berkeley, June 2010.
"The Implications of a Gasoline Price Floor for the California Budget and Greenhouse Gas Emissions", Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #182, University of California Energy Institute, November 2008.
"The Market Value and Cost of Solar Photovoltaic Electricity Production", Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #176, University of California Energy Institute, January 2008. A number of criticisms of this paper have been circulated by solar PV advocates and I have written a response, click here for the lively exchange.
"Electricity Rate Structures and the Economics of Solar PV: Could Mandatory Time-of-Use Rates Undermine California’s Solar Photovoltaic Subsidies? Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #172, University of California Energy Institute, September 2007. (Also Available: A Solar PV Cost Calculator excel file. See the paper for description of its use.)
"Valuing the Time-Varying Electricity Production of Solar Photovoltaic Cells," Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #142, University of California Energy Institute, March 2005.
"Retail Policies and Competition in the Gasoline Industry," (with James Bushnell) Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #144, University of California Energy Institute, May 2005.
"Market Power in California's Gasoline Market," (with James Bushnell and Matthew Lewis) Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #132, University of California Energy Institute, May 2004.
"Investment Efficiency in Competitive Electricity Markets With and Without Time-Varying Retail Prices," (with Stephen Holland), Center for the Study of Energy Markets Working Paper #106, University of California Energy Institute, November 2002.
"U.S. Domestic Airline Pricing, 1995-2004," Competition Policy Center Working Paper CPC05-48, University of California, Berkeley, January 2005.
"Price Incentives for Fuel Switching: Did Price Differences Slow the Phase-Out of Leaded Gasoline?" POWER Working Paper #PWP-010, University of California Energy Institute, April 1993.
1971-1974 --- Berkeley High School, Berkeley, CA
1974-1976 --- Carleton College, Northfield, MN
1977-1978 --- University of California, Berkeley, A.B. Economics
1979-1983 --- Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Ph.D. Economics
1983-1990 --- Assistant Professor of Economics and Public Policy, Department of Economics and Institute of Public Policy Studies, University of Michigan
1989-1990 --- Visiting Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of California, Davis
1990-1994 --- Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of California, Davis
1992,1993 --- Visiting Associate Professor of Business Economics (Autumn), Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley
1994 --- Visiting Associate Professor of Business Economics (March), Distance learning MBA for Cathay Pacific Airlines, School of Business Administration, University of Michigan
1994 --- Visiting Professor of Strategic Management (Winter), Graduate School of Business, Stanford University
1994-1996 --- Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of California, Davis
1996-2000 --- Professor of Business, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley
2000-present -- E.T. Grether Professor of Business Administration and Public Policy, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley
1978-1979 --- Staff Economist, Office of Economic Analysis, U.S. Civil Aeronautics Board
1992-2009 --- Co-Director, Center for the Study of Energy Markets (formerly Program On Workable Energy Regulation), University of California
1992-Present --- Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research
1992-2012 --- Associate Editor of Review of Economics and Statistics
1993-2000 --- Associate Editor of International Journal of Industrial Organization
1993-1995 --- Associate Editor of Journal of Industrial Economics
1994-Present --- Director, University of California Energy Institute
1995-2000 --- Editor, Journal of Industrial Economics
1997-2003 --- Member, Governing Board of California Power Exchange Corporation
1999-2000 --- Member, California Attorney General's Gasoline Task Force
2000-2002 --- Co-Director of National Bureau of Economic Research E-Commerce Project
2004-2009 --- Member, Board of Editors, Journal of Economic Literature
2007-2013 -- Member, Board of Editors, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
2009-present -- Co-Director, Energy Institute at the Haas School of Business
2010-2011 -- Member, U.S. Department of Transportation Future of Aviation Advisory Committee
2010-2012 -- Member, Supply and Infrastructure Task Group of the National Petroleum Council's Future of Transportation Fuels Study (commissioned by Secretary of Energy Steven Chu)
2012-2013 --- Member, Emissions Market Assessment Committee, California Air Resources Board
1979-1981 --- M.I.T. Graduate Scholarship
1982-1983 --- Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Research Fellowship
1986 --- University of Michigan Rackham Research Fellowship (PI)
1986-1987 --- University of Michigan Teaching Development Award (PI)
1987-1990 --- National Science Foundation Research Grant #SES-8711576 (PI), "Efficiency in the Allocation of Operating Licenses"
Fall 1987 --- Michigan Economic Society Undergraduate Teaching Award
1988-1989 --- University of Michigan Rothschild Research Fellowship (PI)
1991-1993 --- Universitywide Energy Research Group Research Grant (co-PI with Colin Cameron), "Asymmetric Retail Gasoline Price Responses to Crude Oil Price Changes"
1997 --- Recipient, Cheit Award for Best Teacher in Haas Daytime MBA Program
1997 --- Finalist, Cheit Award for Best Teacher in Haas PhD Program
1998-2000 --- National Bureau of Economic Research/Sloan Foundation Research Grant (co-PI with Joseph Farrell), "Why Do Firms Cut Costs?"
2002 --- Hewlett Foundation/Energy Foundation Research Grant, ``Price Responsive Demand in Electricity Markets''
2006 --- Finalist, Cheit Award for Best Teacher in Haas Daytime MBA Program
2007-08 -- Research Grant from Coleman Fung Risk Management Research Center (PI), "Security of Supply Concerns and Forward Price Premia in Natural Gas Markets''
2001-2013 -- California Energy Commission Research Grant to U.C. Energy Institute (PI), "Center for the Study of Electricity Markets''
2009-2014 -- U.C. Office of the Present Grant (PI), "U.C. Center for Energy and Environmental Economics''
2009 -- American Economic Review, Excellence in Refereeing Award
2010 -- Microsoft Research Gift (PI), "The Impact of Dynamic Electricity Pricing on Low-Income Households''
2010 -- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (PI), ``Smart Grid and Dynamic Pricing''
2012-2014 --- California Air Resources Board (PI), “Market Simulation Group”
2012-2013 --- California Air Resources Board (PI), “Emissions Market Assessment Committee”